通过对未来5 a锂离子电池在动力电池、储能电池、数码电池市场的发展情况分析,预测锂离子电池生产的平均增长率将达到26%以上,到2025年对应锂离子电池电解液的需求量和六氟磷酸锂需求量将分别达到93.0万t和10.3万t。分析目前六氟磷酸锂产能情况和后期各生产企业扩产计划,预测六氟磷酸锂产能在2022年以前满足市场需求;若2025年以前各生产企业扩产到位,供需将会达到平衡,并且六氟磷酸锂价格趋于平稳,在原材料价格波动不大的情况下预计其价格在8.5万元/t左右。

Through the analysis of lithium-ion battery in power battery,energy storage battery and digital battery exhibition in the next five years,it is predicted that the average growth rate of lithium-ion battery will reach more than 26%.By 2025,the corresponding demand of electrolyte and lithium hexafluorophosphate for lithium-ion battery will reach 9.3×10⁵ t and 1.03×10⁵ t.Based on the analysis of the current production capacity of lithium hexafluorophosphate and the production expansion plan of each production enterprise,it is predicted that the production capacity of lithium hexafluorophosphate will meet the market demand before 2022.The supply and demand of lithium hexafluorophosphate will reach a balance after the production expansion of each production enterprise before 2025.The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate tends to be stable,which is expected to be around 85 000 RMB under the condition of little fluctuation of raw material price.